Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.018323 0.023150 0.029578 0.039075 0.053328 0.075014 0.113028
2025-01-19 0.013335 0.018676 0.026994 0.041980 0.071294 0.135202 0.328540
2025-01-26 0.011208 0.016822 0.026579 0.047050 0.097430 0.256925 1.315524
2025-02-02 0.009845 0.015579 0.026444 0.052379 0.131671 0.516721 12.783761
2025-02-09 0.008459 0.013845 0.024645 0.052835 0.154448 0.888164 9440.889628
2025-02-16 0.007447 0.012533 0.023231 0.053430 0.180710 1.641086 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006638 0.011429 0.021911 0.053564 0.207705 3.252675 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005822 0.010153 0.019844 0.050288 0.212434 5.099902 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005239 0.009264 0.018493 0.048782 0.227801 10.279206 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004863 0.008750 0.017945 0.049893 0.267997 45.226607 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004513 0.008236 0.017273 0.050231 0.306645 662.804615 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004142 0.007626 0.016216 0.048512 0.322510 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003783 0.007047 0.015270 0.047509 0.357654 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003593 0.006833 0.015317 0.051264 0.497206 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003482 0.006782 0.015827 0.057977 0.808528 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003371 0.006713 0.016266 0.065124 1.393818 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003161 0.006360 0.015697 0.065740 1.811891 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002977 0.006051 0.015201 0.066544 2.425964 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002805 0.005751 0.014666 0.066725 3.200781 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002596 0.005328 0.013617 0.062310 3.122557 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002436 0.005020 0.012925 0.060290 3.520212 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002331 0.004847 0.012686 0.061779 5.289366 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002224 0.004658 0.012346 0.062232 7.612818 NaN NaN